Cattle Call 2020: Bernie makes his Iowa (and national) move
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Taking a look at the national polling aggregate, Bernie Sanders is making a move: My operating theory has been that Sanders can’t break past his core support in the high-teens. Polls aren’t real votes, but if this polling is accurate, I’m flat-outCattle Call 2020: Bernie makes his Iowa (and national) move
Taking a look at the national polling aggregate, Bernie Sanders is making a move: My operating theory has been that Sanders can’t break past his core support in the high-teens. Polls aren’t real votes, but if this polling is accurate, I’m flat-out wrong, as he’s now in the low 20s. Interestingly, it hasn’t come at Warren’s support, which remains flat. It’s coming from … Pete Buttigieg, who continues to fade. Doesn’t feel or sound right, right? He does seem to have scooped up Tulsi Gabbard’s cast-offs. Beyond that, it must be undecideds? Who knows. Something is happening, and a five-point boost from 17-ish to 22-ish may not sound much on a scale of 0-100, but in a fragmented field, it shows that 1) Sanders did have some room to grow, and 2) you don’t need a lot of support to do well. More importantly, in the gold-standard Iowa poll, by polling legend Anne Selzer, Sanders was leading in Iowa January 10—something that subsequent polling has pretty much confirmed. Sanders is the current favorite to win Iowa, and that suddenly really matters, as the state’s caucuses are right around the corner. And with that, let’s look at these week’s rankings. (Last week here.) Read more