Morning Digest: 60 GOP-held House seats went Democratic for president at least once in last 10 years
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The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James Lambert, David Beard, and Arjun Jaikumar. Leading Off ●Morning Digest: 60 GOP-held House seats went Democratic for president at least once in last 10 years
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James Lambert, David Beard, and Arjun Jaikumar. Leading Off ● House: Daily Kos Elections has combined our calculations of the results of the presidential elections from 2008 to 2016 for every congressional district with our unique hexmap that renders each district the same size, and we’ve done so in a variety of ways. One of the most interesting results is shown in the map at the top of this post: No fewer than 60 Republican-held districts voted for the Democratic presidential candidate at least once during those three elections. Consequently, if some of these districts revert to earlier patterns in the November midterms, Democrats should be able to capitalize. Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future results: A number of these seats are not part of the Democratic roadmap to a House majority. The flipside is also true, since there are some districts with a consistent pattern of voting Republican at the top of the ticket that nevertheless may be in play this year. By contrast, only 13 Democrats sit in districts that have voted Republican for president one or more time—one small silver lining of being in the minority. And thanks to the favorable political environment this year, few of those seats look vulnerable, though Democrats still have to remain on guard. Click here for our visualization of this bloc of congressional districts, as well as several other maps that illustrate voting trends across the last presidential elections. Read more