Morning Digest: While Steve King only scraped by, his seat gave GOP the win in governor's race
The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James Lambert, David Beard, and Arjun Jaikumar.
● Governor-by-CD: Daily Kos Elections' project to calculate the results of the 2018 Senate and gubernatorial elections by congressional district is out with data for four competitive states: Iowa, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin. As with past cycles, we'll be releasing data after states certify their final results. You can find each state's certification deadlines at Ballotpedia. You can find our master list of states here, which we'll be updating as we add new states, and you can also find our complete set of data from this and previous cycles at Daily Kos.
We'll start with Iowa, a state that gave Democrats some decidedly mixed results in 2018. Team Blue unseated GOP Reps. Rod Blum and David Young, which gives them three of the state's four congressional districts. But at the same time, GOP Gov. Kim Reynolds held her seat by beating Democrat Fred Hubbell 50.3-47.5.
Hubbell did manage to win the three congressional districts that will be represented by Democrats in January. Hubbell carried the 1st District in the northeast corner of the state by a narrow 49-48 margin, while Democrat Abby Finkenauer unseated Blum 51-46. Hubbell won the 2nd District 51-47, while Democratic Rep. Dave Loebsack won his seventh term 55-43. Both these seats voted for Barack Obama in 2012 by the same 56-43 margin, and each of them backed Donald Trump 49-45.
The 3rd District in the Des Moines area supported Hubbell 51-47, while Democrat Cindy Axne beat Young 49-47. This seat is often very competitive turf, having gone from 51-47 Obama to 49-45 Trump.
Reynolds managed to more than offset Hubbell's small wins in the other three seats by carrying the 4th District in western Iowa by a huge 59-39 margin. Reynolds' coattails may have saved white supremacist Rep. Steve King, who ran a very complacent campaign and only defeated Democrat J. D. Scholten 50-47. By contrast, Mitt Romney won 53-45 here, while Trump took the 4th District 61-34.
You can find our data and writes for Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin below in Grab Bag.