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One-on-One: Miami, Orlando, Chicago? Where will OKC's Russell Westbrook land?
Russell Westbrook, who reportedly wants out of OKC, averaged 22.9 points last season. Perhaps Executive of the Year candidate Kawhi Leonard can work out a deal. :) Jaime Valdez-USA TODAY Sports

One-on-One: Miami, Orlando, Chicago? Where will OKC's Russell Westbrook land?

Yardbarker NBA writers Pat Heery and Sean Keane address the hottest issues in the NBA. This week's topic: Where will Russell Westbrook end up?

Heery: Nothing in the NBA lasts forever. Not even the Russell Westbrook era in Oklahoma City. A decade that began with Westbrook, Kevin Durant and James Harden leading the Thunder to the Finals as kids in 2012, and saw each of the trio win MVP awards, somehow yielded zero titles for OKC. If you played this decade out 10 times, the Thunder probably win at least one championship nine times, but for whatever reason, the breaks just didn’t fall their way this time. 

After Kawhi-ser Söze orchestrated the heist of Paul George, the Thunder appears ready to rebuild and are reportedly working with Westbrook to facilitate a trade to a team with playoff aspirations. While there are definitely some interested teams, Russ’ ginormous contract (4 years/$170M), combined with most teams having used the majority of their cap space on the recent free-agent bonanza, makes it difficult to forecast a trade without a little creativity. That’s why I’m seeking your help here, Sean. Hit me with a couple of your best destinations and trade packages for Russ. 

Keane: I wish I could consult with Kawhi on these potential deals, since he's clearly not content with Finals MVP, and is gunning for Executive of the Year. I also wish Westbrook going to the Knicks were possible, since the Knicks are where the careers of overpaid point guards go to die (Stephon Marbury, Steve Francis, Derrick Rose, etc.) and Russ would start feuding with the NY media yesterday. But thanks to all the Knicks' free-agent deals, they couldn’t trade for him until January.

It’s hard to see which teams can fit him under their salary cap, and have the confidence or desperation to commit to paying a 34-year-old Westbrook $47 million. But my first instinct is that Westbrook wants to take his talents to South Beach, where they’re used to having multiple big stars in one locker room, and they’ll appreciate Russ’ fashion sense. The Heat would send back the expiring deals of Goran Dragic and Meyers Leonard, plus another young player like Justise Winslow or Bam Adebayo. Miami can’t send picks to sweeten the deal, because Oklahoma City already has its first-rounders from 2021 and 2023, but perhaps the Heat could remove protections from those picks. That could be valuable, because Jimmy Butler will be disgruntled again by 2021.

Detroit could make a play for Westbrook, pairing him with Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond, since Blake is used to playing with a temperamental ball-dominant guard (Chris Paul). The Pistons would have to send Reggie Jackson back to OKC, include some draft picks and Luke Kennard –- Detroit previously traded them Kyle Singler, so why not another Duke shooting guard? -– and throw in Tony Snell to make the money work. Or Detroit could make it a true blockbuster and put Steven Adams and Drummond into the trade as well, if only to prevent Drummond and Westbrook from fighting over stolen free throw rebounds.

The Thunder are far too traumatized from the James Harden deal to do another blockbuster deal with Houston, so my favorite destination for Westbrook is Orlando. Some combination of D.J. Augustin, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, and last year’s No. 6 pick Mo Bamba could get it done, or if Oklahoma drives a hard bargain, Aaron Gordon. Orlando would finally get a playmaker at point guard, and Russ gets to play with Nikola Vucevic and a squad of lockdown defenders in a state with no income tax. Just imagine the outfits he’d wear to Disney World!


Are the Bulls a stealth landing spot for Russell Westbrook? Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

Keane: Going through these scenarios, I’m left with one big question: Is trading for Westbrook a good idea in 2019?

Heery: Well, his contract obviously doesn’t work for most of the NBA, but I do think he’s worth trading for if you’re already all-in with a mediocre team like Miami and Detroit. So, if I’m the GM of those teams, to borrow Russ’ motto, “Why not?” The interesting thing with Westbrook is that he’s been picked apart by so many NBA stat geeks and hipsters for his inefficient shot selection (29 percent from three on nearly six attempts per game last season), that he’s become underrated. This dude is still going to be an All-Star and fringe All-NBA player for another year or two -- maybe more if he started making threes close to the league average (approximately 35.5 percent). 

There’s a tendency to talk about every superstar nearing the end of their prime like they’re post-Achilles Kobe Bryant or the OKC version of Carmelo Anthony -- Russ isn’t close to being that detrimental to his team yet. Yes, his contract is pretty bad, but almost every team has bad contracts. Look at the freaking Raptors last season -- you think paying Kyle Lowry $33M, Marc Gasol $24M and Serge Ibaka $22M is a cost-effective use of cap space? Hell, no! But hey, those guys showed up in the playoffs and helped Toronto win a chip. Not sure which is better these days: winning the title or getting the most compliments for savvy front-office moves on Twitter. (Congrats to the Nets for winning that award in 2018-19 -- make sure you send your ring sizes to Adam Silver.)

For what it’s worth, I think Chicago is a stealth choice to swing a deal for Russ. They have some big contracts like Zach LaVine (three years, $58.5M remaining) and Otto Porter (two years, $55.7M remaining) and a young team that could use a passionate leader like Westbrook. Plus, Lauri Markkanen’s perimeter shooting and Wendell Carter Jr.’s rim protection could make up for some of Westbrook’s flaws. 


Could Golden State's Draymond Green end up elsewhere? Pool Photo-USA TODAY Sports

Heery: So, we’re expecting Westbrook to be dealt in the near future. Any other big names you think might be on the move this summer? Could we see the Wizards' Bradley Beal or Raptors' Kyle Lowry suiting up for a different team come this fall?

Keane: There’s no way Russell Westbrook’s deal is worse than many of the deals signed this summer, but that’s part of the Board Man’s genius: Delay his decision, force the Paul George trade when teams were out of cap space, and prevent a vengeful Westbrook from jumping to another contender, hell-bent on destroying the Clippers. The last time one of his teammates bailed on him, Westbrook’s sense of betrayal drove him to an MVP season.

I’m inclined to think the Raptors will hold on to their veterans on expiring deals (Lowry/Ibaka/Gasol/FredVanVleet), at least until the trade deadline. It seems wrong not to let the remaining players defend their title, and they still might be the third-best team in the East while KD is rehabbing his leg. Considering the war chest of draft picks that Sam Presti has acquired this week, the Thunder should be trying to trade for a player at the level of Beal, and then spend two years selling him on playing next to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Of course if OKC strikes out, it could bottom out completely, meaning Danilo Gallinari and Steven Adams would be available for clearance-sale prices. And while Chris Paul’s contract is harder to fit into a salary cap than Westbrook’s, never rule out cap wizard Daryl “Dork Elvis” Morey when it comes to making impossible trades.

The dark-horse veteran who might change teams is Golden State's Draymond Green, who is by far the best player who’ll actually hit unrestricted free agency next summer (Klutch Sports won’t let AD and LeBron break up). He’s eligible to sign a three-year extension this summer, but if the Warriors think he wants to move on, Bob Myers might not have the stomach to watch another future Hall of Famer walk away in July.

So, if you had to bet your life, or at least five future unprotected first-round picks, where do you predict that Russell Westbrook is playing on opening night?

Heery: My guess is Pat Riley moves heaven and earth to team Westbrook with Butler in Miami. What about you?

Keane: As much as I’d like to see a Wiggins-Westbrook bad contract exchange program with the Timberwolves, it would only guarantee that Karl-Anthony Towns forces his way out of Minnesota in two years. As we saw with Kawhi’s signing and should have learned back in the '80s, never count out Jerry West and Pat Riley. The Russ and Jimmy Show is coming to Miami.

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