The typical way to think about how to “keep score” in gubernatorial elections is kind of a dumb one: essentially, it’s one point for each state, so if your party ends up electing the governor in 26 or more states, you’re the “winner.” As I’ve pointed out before, though, you don’t get any sort of bonus for controlling the majority of state houses. The party with 26 governors doesn’t get to tell the governors in the other 24 states what to do. (In fact, the majority party doesn’t even get to elect the chair of the National Governors’ Association, which isn’t much of a prize anyway, policy-wise; the chair simply rotates between the parties every cycle.) And if you’ve elected 26 governors in 26 disproportionately-small states, then your party is still representing only a minority of the country. Our colleagues at FiveThirtyEight released their governors forecast today, and they did one thing that was really innovative: the topline result, instead of how many states the parties are on track to win, was how much of the population each party is on track to represent. Their answer is: the Democrats are on track to represent 194 million, or 59 percent of the nation, while the Republicans are on track to represent 135 million, or 41 percent. (Beyond that, their predictions are pretty much the same as where we are as of today: Democrats are on track to pick up eight governorships, which would take them up to 24.)
Our race ratings: Senate | Governor | House The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James Lambert, David Beard, and Arjun Jaikumar. Leading Off ● House: Daily Kos Elections is very pleased to share our new chart rounding up third-quarter fundraising numbers for every competitive House race in the country—and, this time, for every race in the country as well. In our post, you'll find data for the 100 contests we currently rate as competitive, and, in a separate spreadsheet, you can also peruse the stats for every major-party candidate on the ballot this November who filed a fundraising report with the FEC. Campaign Action The topline numbers are eye-popping, to say the least. Despite the incumbency advantage the GOP ought to have, Democrats outraised Republicans in 261 races, while the reverse was true in just 132 contests—and that's without including any self-funding. (Republicans have left an additional 39 Democratic-held seats uncontested, while Democrats only failed to field a candidate in three Republican districts.) In the battlegrounds that will likely decide the fate of the House, the statistics are even more wildly lopsided: Democrats outraised Republicans in fully 93 of the 100 most competitive seats, as shown in this map. And the hauls themselves are extraordinary—at least for one side. Sixty-two Democrats in the top 100 races raised more than $1 million each in the third quarter, with only two being incumbents. In the many years we’ve been tracking this sort of data, we’ve never seen figures anything like this. (By contrast, only 16 Republicans brought in over $1 million—14 of them incumbents.) Of course, money is far from the only factor that will determine who wins the House next month. But these numbers do ensure that Democrats will have the resources they need to get their message out over the stretch run. And the enormous upsurge in Democratic fundraising, powered extensively by grassroots donors, shows an intense enthusiasm that is not matched on the Republican side.
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Jay-Newton Small at The New Republic writes—Why the Left Needs Nancy Pelosi: The minority leader has spent almost her entire political life under threat. Conservatives have vilified her as a San Francisco wingnut who wants to drag America into socialized health care, weaken the military, and throw money around like confetti at a Pride parade in the Castro. (They often trot her out as the unwitting star of their attack ads, linking her to Democratic candidates all over the country.) At times, moderates in her own party have piled on. Last year, Tim Ryan, a centrist Democrat from Ohio, led an insurrection in which 63 members voted to remove her as minority leader. Now, however, Pelosi is under assault from a new cohort: the left politicians eager to distance themselves from an ossified Democratic establishment. Dozens have rushed to announce that they wouldn’t support her for speaker should they take back the House in November. “While I respect Leader Pelosi’s years of advocacy on behalf of California and the Democratic Party,” said Gil Cisneros, the Democratic nominee for a Los Angeles House seat and a self-described Bernie Sanders Democrat, “it’s time for new leadership.” Democrats should be careful what they wish for. Pelosi’s longtime number two, and the person most likely to succeed her if she is pushed out, is Steny Hoyer, a moderate Blue Dog Democrat from Maryland. No matter how much left-wingers pillory Pelosi’s willingness to compromise with Republicans, and her ties to big donors, she is still a better fit than Hoyer for their agenda. She may not be a purist, a Democratic socialist, or even particularly charismatic. But she understands her party and the pressures it faces. Democrats can dismiss her as a relic, a fossil like those she was hoping to dig up in Kenya, but they may be surprised at how much of an asset she can be. xHere's the thing-- Mitch McConnell is gaslighting us. Republicans rammed through a bill to give huge tax breaks to corporations and the mega-rich, and now they're using its consequences as an excuse to propose cuts to Medicare and Medicaid. It's all part of the GOP fever dream.— Senator Mazie Hirono (@maziehirono) October 17, 2018 x20 DAYS!! WeÃ¢ÂÂre organizing to get idÃ¢ÂÂs, GOTV Efforts and getting voters to polls! Contribute here. #NDNativeVote #GOTV https://t.co/hXuquZv53C— ND Native Vote (@NDNativeVote) October 17, 2018
“He hasn’t really done anything,” says columnist Frank Bruni
20 days remain until the final votes are cast in the midterms Robert Reich at TruthDig writes—The Economy Is in Much Worse Shape Than It Looks: I keep hearing that although Donald Trump is a scoundrel or worse, at least he’s presiding over a great economy. As White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow recently put it, “The single biggest story this year is an economic boom that is durable and lasting.” Really? Look closely at the living standards of most Americans, and you get a very different picture. Yes, the stock market has boomed since Trump became president. But it’s looking increasingly wobbly as Trump’s trade wars take a toll. Over 80 percent of the stock market is owned by the richest 10 percent of Americans anyway, so most Americans never got much out of Trump’s boom to begin with. The trade wars are about to take a toll on ordinary workers. Trump’s steel tariffs have cost Ford $1 billion so far, for example, forcing the automaker to plan mass layoffs. What about economic growth? Data from the Commerce Department shows the economy at full speed, 4.2 percent growth for the second quarter. But very little of that growth is trickling down to average Americans. Adjusted for inflation, hourly wages aren’t much higher now than they were forty years ago. Trump slashed taxes on the wealthy and promised everyone else a $4,000 wage boost. But the boost never happened. That’s a big reason why Republicans aren’t campaigning on their tax cut, which is just about their only legislative accomplishment. TOP COMMENTS • HIGH IMPACT STORIES QUOTATION “If wealth was the inevitable result of hard work and enterprise, every woman in Africa would be a millionaire.” ~~George Monbiot TWEET OF THE DAY BLAST FROM THE PAST On this date at Daily Kos in 2008—CO-Sen: Schaffer on His Own Now: National Republicans have decided Bob Schaffer is a sinking ship, and you know what happens with the rats then. Last week there were rumors that the NRSC was going to pull out of Schaffer's campaign for the Colorado Senate seat being vacated by Wayne Allard. That speculation is confirmed today. Mark Udall, has been posting consistent leads in polling for the last month, probably one reason a cash-strapped NRSC has decided to retrench and defend other seats. It's not just the NRSC that have been scared off. «Independent» 527s, are also pulling out, looking to Oregon and North Carolina to try to salvage a few Republican incumbents. LINK TO DAILY KOS STORE On today’s Kagro in the Morning show, Greg Dworkin & Joan McCarter round up the day’s news. The Khashoggi story gets worse every minute. Young voters may show up this year! With electoral accountability now looming, it's time for Republicans start lying and crying about health care. x Embedded Content RadioPublic|LibSyn|YouTube|Patreon|Square Cash (Share code: Send $5, get $5!)
The nightstand-friendly but also portable Insignia Voice once sold for as high as $150. It's an alarm clock and smart Bluetooth speaker.
The Pixel 3's starting price is «cheaper» than the iPhone and Galaxy phones, but it's not that more affordable when factoring in storage.
Or at least have an endless playlist of similar music.
Senior executives of major Western corporations will still attend Saudi Arabia’s business forum despite the growing scandal over the disappearance and alleged murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Read Full Article at RT.com
The net worth of Russian billionaires has grown by 10.8 percent since the beginning of 2018 against the same period a year ago, outpacing the riches from any other country in the world, shows the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Read Full Article at RT.com
The LN Mittal-led company on Wednesday paid off dues of Uttam Galva Steel and KSS Petron
Scientists have gained new insights into how the 'master regulator' of reproduction affects men's brains.
AI like the malevolent HAL in the movie «2001» are already among us.
The ferocious dinosaur wants people to stop mocking its tiny arms.
Beneath an American flag, 20 people packed tight into a beige conference room are Facebook’s, and so too the Internet’s, first line of defence for democracy. This is Facebook election security war room. Screens visualize influxes of foreign political content and voter suppression attempts as high-ranking team members from across divisions at Facebook, Instagram, and […]
In the connected future will anyone truly own any thing? Banksy’s artworld shocker performance piece, earlier this month, when a canvas of his went under the hammer at Sothebys in London, suggests not. Immediately the Girl with Balloon canvas sold — for a cool ~$1.1M (£860,000) — it proceeded to self-destruct, via a shredder built into […]
Aside from Donald Glover, Alden Ehrenreich was the best casting choice in Solo: A Star Wars Story. But even a brilliant portrayal of young Han Solo can’t satisfy the most die-hard fans, for […] The post This Is What ‘Solo’ Would Have Looked Like Starring Young Harrison Ford appeared first on Geek.com.
BEIJING (AP) - An outspoken former detainee in China's internment camps for Muslims said Thursday his application for a visa to visit the United States was rejected despite an invitation to speak at Congress about his ordeal. Kazakh national Omir Bekali was asked to travel to Washington in September by ...
LINCOLN, Neb. (AP) - Nebraska's no longer nice in the state's new tourism campaign. The new sales pitch unveiled Wednesday by the Nebraska Tourism Commission at a Nebraska City conference has a self-deprecating bent: «Nebraska. It's not for everyone.» The slogan replaces one that debuted in 2014: "Visit Nebraska. Visit ...
I’d give anything to be able to communicate with my cat (mostly so she actually understands when I’m telling her off). Dog owners may soon be afforded that luxury, thanks to scientists at […] The post Move Over, Pavlov: Dogs Can Understand (Some) Human Words appeared first on Geek.com.
RICHMOND, Va. (AP) - Virginia is officially kicking off its commemoration of the 400th anniversary of the founding of the House of Burgesses at Jamestown, the first arrival of African slaves in the British colonies, and other aspects of the state's colonial past. Gov. Ralph Northam headlined a kickoff at ...
Dolce & Gabbana showcased its rich history and signature elements including striking floral prints in its Spring 2019 Ready-to-Wear Collection.The Dolce & Gabbana Spring 2019 Ready-to-Wear Collection comes with a variety of surprising elements. On the whole, however, the Italian house, that specializes in luxury fashion, has stuck close to the signature elements that have come to define the brand. With an “inclusive” theme running through the show, designers Domenico Dolce and Stefano Gabbana used models ranging over various age groups. Ashley Graham put her striking full figure to good use on the runway and modeled wearing a dress with a fashionable leopard-inspired print.The frequent muse of the firm’s founders, actress Monica Bellucci was also featured on the catwalk in a black dress that was emblazoned with large polka dots. While long time collaborator with the fashion house, Isabella Rossellini, sported a tailored outfit created from black lace. Eva Herzigova and Carla Bruni graced the platform, which also featured Viscountess Emma Weymouth, in a cocktail dress with bright floral prints. Model Sara Sampaio also wore a floral printed dress that was dotted with roses in a delicate shade of pink. Lady Kitty Spencer was also on hand to lend color to the show as she wore a dress printed with eye-catching colors and patterns.As the models and 150 looks on the catwalk took center stage during the Spring 2019 Ready-to-Wear Show in Milan, the backdrop featured fingerprints belonging to the founders of the house.Click on the slideshow for a sneak peek at the collection.http://www.blouinartinfo.comFounder: Louise Blouin
STOCKHOLM (AP) - Sweden's Olympic leaders have tried to assure Stockholm's newly formed local government that the city's taxpayers will not be asked to foot the bill for the 2026 Winter Games. Stockholm's bid to host the games is at risk after lawmakers in the new coalition running the city ...
Bayern Munich coach Niko Kovac was hoping the international break would revitalize his players after four games without a win
The French marque announced its departure on Thursday morning, along with news about the development of a new range of electrified sports vehicles from 2020. It cited that uncertainty surrounding the sport’s switch to electric cars, which was postponed from by a year to 2021, as the reason for leaving the sport it entered as a full works programme for the first time this ... Keep reading
Earlier this year, Marquez concluded a new contract with his Honda team running to the end of the 2020 season, but the Spaniard is likely to be at the centre of rider market speculation for 2021. Indeed, there have been reports the Italian media that Ducati has already made tentative contact with Marquez’s entourage about a possible switch that year, although this was denied by team manager ... Keep reading
Red Star plans to challenge match-fixing allegation in court
Ninth-ranked Oklahoma plays at TCU in rematch of last year's Big 12 championship game