Morning Digest: Daily Kos Elections' Q3 fundraising chart shows House Democrats awash in cash
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The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, and Carolyn Fiddler, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James Lambert, David Beard, and Arjun Jaikumar.
● House: Daily Kos Elections is very pleased to share our new chart rounding up third-quarter fundraising numbers for every competitive House race in the country—and, this time, for every race in the country as well. In our post, you'll find data for the 100 contests we currently rate as competitive, and, in a separate spreadsheet, you can also peruse the stats for every major-party candidate on the ballot this November who filed a fundraising report with the FEC.
The topline numbers are eye-popping, to say the least. Despite the incumbency advantage the GOP ought to have, Democrats outraised Republicans in 261 races, while the reverse was true in just 132 contests—and that's without including any self-funding. (Republicans have left an additional 39 Democratic-held seats uncontested, while Democrats only failed to field a candidate in three Republican districts.)
In the battlegrounds that will likely decide the fate of the House, the statistics are even more wildly lopsided: Democrats outraised Republicans in fully 93 of the 100 most competitive seats, as shown in this map. And the hauls themselves are extraordinary—at least for one side. Sixty-two Democrats in the top 100 races raised more than $1 million each in the third quarter, with only two being incumbents. In the many years we’ve been tracking this sort of data, we’ve never seen figures anything like this. (By contrast, only 16 Republicans brought in over $1 million—14 of them incumbents.)
Of course, money is far from the only factor that will determine who wins the House next month. But these numbers do ensure that Democrats will have the resources they need to get their message out over the stretch run. And the enormous upsurge in Democratic fundraising, powered extensively by grassroots donors, shows an intense enthusiasm that is not matched on the Republican side.