COVID-19: The model behind Trump's numbers, and the numbers behind the model
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On Tuesday, networks were once again ready to proclaim the day on which Donald Trump became president by noting that he stopped using third-grade nicknames long enough to deliver the message that as many as a quarter of a million Americans may die. Then heCOVID-19: The model behind Trump's numbers, and the numbers behind the model
On Tuesday, networks were once again ready to proclaim the day on which Donald Trump became president by noting that he stopped using third-grade nicknames long enough to deliver the message that as many as a quarter of a million Americans may die. Then he went right back to talking about the important things—like how great the ratings are when he steps out to tell Americans how they’re going to die. It all gives the distinct impression that, had Trump known that reading a daily death sentence out for hundreds of thousands of viewers, Trump would have scheduled a pandemic long before this. But as Trump runs his fingers across a chart that turns killing 240,000 Americans into a “goal,” it’s worth examining … where are these numbers coming from? And is the doom Trump is pronouncing really as certain as it seems? Read more